Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 71.043312 79.913666 89.023809 99.049460 109.743245 120.780308 133.004442
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 57.146963 69.813502 83.448164 99.092645 116.427709 134.937155 156.084898
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 49.222061 64.010410 80.489865 99.961650 122.098989 146.263191 174.416678
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 42.081754 58.091078 76.517251 98.871319 124.860154 153.763340 187.987015
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 37.733983 54.886720 75.184381 100.354193 130.149846 163.778933 204.100094
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 34.343846 52.453983 74.436035 102.230776 135.654152 173.854924 220.141440
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 30.120526 48.557962 71.563638 101.257198 137.547173 179.556628 230.995805
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 25.856976 44.209486 67.792966 98.886647 137.515096 182.801195 238.825746
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 24.542460 43.695945 68.803195 102.372981 144.521166 194.333513 256.357829
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 22.982734 42.691605 69.062464 104.824346 150.199921 204.253324 271.984520
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 20.309253 39.863771 66.722724 103.794925 151.443858 208.752578 281.108066
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 17.896903 37.199702 64.429492 102.676432 152.455940 212.880749 289.720358
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 16.104321 35.348689 63.179386 102.896169 155.170874 219.141272 301.001310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 14.486295 33.624742 62.002391 103.135243 157.861641 225.352091 312.229843
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 13.205693 32.324519 61.340660 103.999171 161.307346 232.467779 324.548329
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 11.528117 30.179774 59.314232 102.885445 162.096364 236.213682 332.704424
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.663542 29.368692 59.214998 104.404574 166.318100 244.258222 346.156530
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.965762 28.790125 59.423803 106.327436 171.061480 252.963466 360.443467
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.688228 26.982119 57.633242 105.329915 171.849995 256.613107 368.435085
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.260146 24.683458 54.928459 102.900718 170.620048 257.617799 373.076332
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 7.093777 24.946361 56.339448 106.473121 177.545932 269.112185 390.886384
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.744633 24.783777 57.034738 108.984329 183.026809 278.759008 406.403151
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.817566 23.241114 55.365636 107.929843 183.573019 281.997769 413.835859